Friday, July 29, 2011

How the Middle Class Takes Shocks

Searching the name Simon Kuper in the Amazon page will show that he writes very insightful books on the use of economics thinking in the analysis of soccer. He is also a contributor to the Financial Times and has a very informative piece here on the vulnerability of middle classes world over. It is pertinent because the whole world is presently riveted to the remote possibility of US debt default and the less remote one of Greek default and the subsequent contagion throughout interconnected financial markets.

The piece is perceptive and insightful in taking the focus to individuals and households and therefore, considering the micro-level effects and how these impose suffering on account of shocks to the income of individuals. Arguing that those who fall through the "trapdoor" tend to lose faith in the values that support capitalism and suddenly become vulnerable to support conspiracy theories and belligerent leadership, he seems to accept that a sudden economic shock has effects that go beyond the economy.

A response to this thesis requires proper consideration but I think that the government of Greece needs to make tough decisions today because the earlier decisions have been poor and have built up into a far larger problem requiring more sober policies.  And as that happens, I hope that the narrative that develops is not a distorted one rather than one that faces the tough facts as they are. Some Greek people lived far beyond their means and relied too heavily on public subvention.  Still, I am impressed with the thesis about how some people's political opinions evolves with the changes in their economic circumstances.   

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